NYT > Home Page: City Room: Cuomo Declares Public Health Emergency Over Flu Outbreak

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City Room: Cuomo Declares Public Health Emergency Over Flu Outbreak
Jan 12th 2013, 19:00

With the nation in the grip of a severe influenza outbreak that has seen deaths reach epidemic levels, New York State declared a public health emergency on Saturday, making access to vaccines more easily available.

There have been nearly 20,000 cases of flu reported across the state so far this season, officials said. Last season, 4,400 positive laboratory tests were reported.

"We are experiencing the worst flu season since at least 2009, and influenza activity in New York State is widespread, with cases reported in all 57 counties and all five boroughs of New York City," Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said in a statement.

Under the order, pharmacists will be allowed to administer flu vaccinations to patients between 6 months and 18 years old, temporarily suspending a state law that prohibits pharmacists from administering immunizations to children.

While children and older people tend to be the most likely to become seriously ill from the flu, Mr. Cuomo urged all New Yorkers to get vaccinated.

On Friday, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta said that deaths from the flu had reached epidemic levels, with at least 20 children having died nationwide. Officials cautioned that deaths from pneumonia and the flu typically reach epidemic levels for a week or two every year. The severity of the outbreak will be determined by how long the death toll remains high or if it climbs higher.

There was some evidence that caseloads may be peaking, federal officials said on Friday.

In New York City, public health officials announced on Thursday that flu-related illnesses had reached epidemic levels, and they joined the chorus of authorities urging people to get vaccinated.

"It's a bad year," the city's health commissioner, Dr. Thomas A. Farley, told reporters on Thursday. "We've got lots of flu, it's mainly type AH3N2, which tends to be a little more severe. So we're seeing plenty of cases of flu and plenty of people sick with flu. Our message for any people who are listening to this is it's still not too late to get your flu shot."

There has been a spike in the number of people going to emergency rooms over the past two weeks with flulike symptoms – including fever, fatigue and coughing – Dr. Farley said.

Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg and Mr. Cuomo made a public display of getting shots this past week.

In a briefing with reporters on Friday, officials from the C.D.C. said that this year's vaccine was effective in 62 percent of cases.

As officials have stepped up their efforts encouraging vaccinations, there have been scattered reports of shortages. But officials said plenty of the vaccine was available.

According to the C.D.C., makers of the flu vaccine produced about 135 million doses for this year. As of early this month, 128 million doses had been distributed. While that would not be enough for every American, only 37 percent of the population get a flu shot each year.

Federal health officials said they would be happy if that number rose to 50 percent, which would mean that there would be more than enough vaccine for anyone who wanted to be immunized.

Two other diseases – norovirus and whooping cough – are also widespread this winter and are contributing to the number of people getting sick.

The flu can resemble a cold, though the symptoms come on more rapidly and are more severe.

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NYT > Home Page: Aaron Swartz, Internet Activist, Dies at 26

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Aaron Swartz, Internet Activist, Dies at 26
Jan 12th 2013, 19:55

Michael Francis McElroy for The New York Times

Aaron Swartz in 2009.

Aaron Swartz, a wizardly programmer who as a teenager helped develop code that delivered ever-changing Web content to users and later became a steadfast crusader to make that information freely available, was found dead on Friday in his New York apartment.

He was 26.

 An uncle, Michael Wolf, said that Mr. Swartz had apparently hanged himself, and that Mr. Swartz's girlfriend had discovered the body.

At 14, Mr. Swartz helped create RSS, the nearly ubiquitous tool that allows users to subscribe to online information. He later became an Internet folk hero, pushing to make many Web files free and open to the public. But in July 2011, he was indicted on federal charges of gaining illegal access to JSTOR, a subscription-only service for distributing scientific and literary journals, and downloading 4.8 million articles and documents, nearly the entire library.

Charges in the case, including wire fraud and computer fraud, were pending at the time of Mr. Swartz's death, carrying potential penalties of up to 35 years in prison and $1 million in fines.

"Aaron built surprising new things that changed the flow of information around the world," said Susan Crawford, a professor at the Cardozo School of Law in New York who served in the Obama administration as a technology adviser. She called Mr. Swartz "a complicated prodigy" and said "graybeards approached him with awe."

Mr. Wolf said he would remember his nephew as a young man who "looked at the world, and had a certain logic in his brain, and the world didn't necessarily fit in with that logic, and that was sometimes difficult."

The Tech, a newspaper of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, reported Mr. Swartz's death early Saturday.

Mr. Swartz led an often itinerant life that included dropping out of Stanford, forming companies and organizations, and becoming a fellow at Harvard University's Edmond J. Safra Center for Ethics.

He formed a company that merged with Reddit, the popular news and information site. He also co-founded Demand Progress, a group that promotes online campaigns on social justice issues — including a successful effort, with other groups, to oppose a Hollywood-backed Internet piracy bill.

But he also found trouble when he took part in efforts to release information to the public that he felt should be freely available. In 2008, he took on PACER, or Public Access to Court Electronic Records, the repository for federal judicial documents.

The database charges 10Ö cents a page for documents; activists like Carl Malamud, the founder of 2public.resource.org,1 have long argued that such documents should be free because they are produced at public expense. Joining Mr. Malamud's efforts to make the documents public by posting legally obtained files to the Internet for free access, Mr. Swartz wrote an elegant little program to download 20 million pages of documents from free library accounts, or roughly 20 percent of the enormous database.

 The government abruptly shut down the free library program, and Mr. Malamud feared that legal trouble might follow even though he felt they had violated no laws. As he recalled in a newspaper account of the events, "I immediately saw the potential for overreaction by the courts." He recalled telling Mr. Swartz: "You need to talk to a lawyer. I need to talk to a lawyer."

 Mr. Swartz recalled in a 2009 interview, "I had this vision of the feds crashing down the door, taking everything away." He said he locked the deadbolt on his door, lay down on the bed for a while and then called his mother.

 

When an article about his Pacer exploit was published in The New York Times, Mr. Swartz responded in a blog postin a typically puckish manner, announcing the story in the form of a personal ad: "Attention attractive people: Are you looking for someone respectable enough that they've been personally vetted by The New York Times, but has enough of a bad-boy streak that the vetting was because they 'liberated' millions of dollars of government documents? If so, look no further than page A14 of today's New York Times.

The federal government investigated but decided not to prosecute.

In 2011, however, Mr. Swartz went beyond that, according to a federal indictment. In an effort to provide free public access to JSTOR, he broke into computer networks at M.I.T. by means that included gaining entry to a utility closet on campus and leaving a laptop that signed into the university network under a false account, federal officials said.

Mr. Swartz turned over his hard drives with 4.8 million documents, and JSTOR declined to pursue the case. But Carmen M. Ortiz, a United States attorney,Ö pressed on, saying that "stealing is stealing, whether you use a computer command or a crowbar, and whether you take documents, data or dollars."

Mr. Malamud said that while he did not approve of Mr. Swartz's actions at M.I.T., "access to knowledge and access to justice have become all about access to money, and Aaron tried to change that. That should never have been considered a criminal activity."

 Cory Doctorow, a science fiction author and online activist, posted a tribute to Mr. Swartz on BoingBoing.net, a blog he co-edits. In an e-mail, he called Mr. Swartz "uncompromising, principled, smart, flawed, loving, caring, and brilliant."

"The world was a better place with him in it," he said.

 

Of the indictment, he said, "The fact that the U.S. legal apparatus decided he belonged behind bars for downloading scholarly articles without permission is as neat an indictment of our age — and validation of his struggle — as you could ask for."

Mr. Swartz, he noted, had a habit of turning on those closest to him, saying that "Aaron held the world, his friends, and his mentors to an impossibly high standard — the same standard he set for himself." He added, however, "It's a testament to his friendship that no one ever seemed to hold it against him (except, maybe, himself)."

In 2007, Mr. Swartz wrote about his struggle with depression, distinguishing it from the emotion of sadness. "Go outside and get some fresh air or cuddle with a loved one and you don't feel any better, only more upset at being unable to feel the joy that everyone else seems to feel. Everything gets colored by the sadness." When the condition gets worse, he wrote, "you feel as if streaks of pain are running through your head, you thrash your body, you search for some escape but find none. And this is one of the more moderate forms." Earlier that year, he gave a talk in which he described having had suicidal thoughts during a low period in his career.

On Wednesday JSTOR announced that it would open its archives for 1,200 journals to free reading by the public on a limited basis.

Lawrence Lessig, who heads the Safra Center at Harvard and had worked for a time on behalf of Mr. Swartz's legal defense, noted in an interview that Mr. Swartz had been arrested by the M.I.T. campus police two years to the day before his suicide. That arrest led to the eventual federal indictment and financial ruin for Mr. Swartz, who had made money on the sale of Reddit to Condé Nast but had never tried to turn his intellect to making money. "I can just imagine him thinking it was going to be a million-dollar defense," Mr. Lessig said. "He didn't have a million dollars."

In an online broadside directed at prosecutors, Mr. Lessig denounced what he called the federal "bullying," and wrote, "this government needs to answer is why it was so necessary that Aaron Swartz be labeled a "felon."

Still, Mr. Lessig said, he had seen Mr. Swartz just weeks before, at a Christmas party at his home, and before that, at Thanksgiving. "He seemed fine," he said.

Ravi Somaiya contributed reporting.

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NYT > Home Page: Weekend Kitchen

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Weekend Kitchen
Jan 12th 2013, 18:01

Playing Cool With a Mexican Palette

El Toro Blanco in the West Village conjures a midcentury modern, California ambience, where the centerpiece of a fun and stylish night on the town can be a plate of tamales.

Hold the Butter

A new certification coming to restaurants, cafeterias and cruise lines has a message: our experts have vetted this dish, and it is good for you.

Off the Menu

Hearty fare on Houston Street; a French brasserie on the Upper West Side; Italian-Mexican on the Bowery and more.

Dining Calendar

A winter festival in Brooklyn, a four-course nose-to-tail hog dinner at Louro; dinners with guest chefs and more.

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NYT > Home Page: A Desert Cold and Wet Multiplies the Misery of Syrian Refugees

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A Desert Cold and Wet Multiplies the Misery of Syrian Refugees
Jan 12th 2013, 16:55

Rina Castelnuovo for The New York Times

A barefoot child walked through puddles at the Zaatari refugee camp, where about  55,000 Syrians live in hardship. A storm washed away tents last week.

ZAATARI, Jordan — The water has mostly been removed from hundreds of flooded tents and the dirt paths that ran between them here in the region's vastest camp of Syrian refugees. The clotheslines are laden with soggy sweaters and socks, waiting for the sun after a week of harsh wind, rain and snow.

A makeshift barber at the camp, in Jordan near the Syrian border.

Aid agencies expect the number of Syrian refugees to reach 1 million in 2013, and estimates for the cost of caring for them top $1 billion.

The residents are waiting, too: for the next storm, and the next, they know will come this winter and, many fear, for their own demise.

"We were waiting for our deaths so we came out, but we found our second deaths here," said a man who identified himself as Abu Tarik from the Dhulash family. He said he arrived in the Zaatari refugee camp 10 days ago after intense shelling near his home and farm, which lie across the border in Dara'a, Syria.

"There, we were going to die from the fires," he said, sitting on a floor mat surrounded by a dozen family members. "Here we're going to die from the cold. We don't want to die in this tent."

With aid agencies expecting the number of Syrian refugees to reach one million this year, and estimates for the cost of caring for them topping $1 billion, the misery in this struggling six-month-old camp is part of a deepening humanitarian crisis that threatens to further destabilize the Middle East. More than half a million people who have already fled Syria have ended up in camps and villages across Jordan, Turkey and Lebanon, all of which have asked for more international aid. Last week was the worst yet in Zaatari, as scores of tents collapsed under the most severe storm in 20 years. Two infants and a 22-year-old amputee died, all of unrelated causes. Several aid workers were injured when a riot broke out during food distribution.

Life began to return to normal on Friday, but normal in this desert camp of nine square miles crowded with more than 50,000 people is, according to the refugees and even some of those running the place, somewhere between horrible and inhumane.

Barefoot children trod through mud in temperatures not far above freezing. People lined up for hours for pots, utensils and buckets. Women pushed squeegees through the remaining puddles, and washed clothes in plastic tubs with cold water that quickly turned brown.

A young man got a $3 shave and haircut in a corrugated tin shack that a refugee barber set up four days before. A younger one shinnied up a 30-foot light pole to pirate electricity.

"There's no silver lining on such harsh conditions," acknowledged Andrew Harper, the top official of the United Nations refugee agency in Jordan. "It's just a really, really bad place to be."

But Mr. Harper said the United Nations and the nonprofit groups helping it run the camp were doing the best with what they had, noting that the agency had appealed for $245 million to absorb Syrians regionwide in 2012 and received $157 million.  Jordan, already consumed with an intense financial crisis and growing protest movement, is scrambling to keep up with the continued influx, particularly given the delicate balance in its population of six million, which is dominated by Palestinian refugees and their descendants and includes hundreds of thousands who fled the war in Iraq.

Zaatari is only the most visible challenge. Nearly five times as many refugees are living in Jordanian cities and villages, taxing the government's education, health and energy resources, and competing for scarce jobs.

Anmar Hmoud, who is handling the Syria file for the prime minister, said that refugees could leave Zaatari and Jordan's handful of smaller camps if a relative or friend could guarantee financial support, but that the government was "exhausting its own resources." He estimated the cost of military, health, education and other services at $670 million for 2012 and 2013.

"We are a neighbor, and we do our duty, but there is a limit to helping people unless we are helped by others," he said. "It's not the Jordanian problem, it is the international community's problem."

Some relief is coming. Mr. Hmoud said a new camp just south of here near Zarqa, financed by the United Arab Emirates, would open in two weeks, allowing 6,000 of Zaatari's most vulnerable residents to move into prefabricated homes, and eventually growing to accommodate 30,000. Saudi Arabia, which over the past month has provided Zaatari with 2,500 prefabs costing $8 million, announced Friday that it would give $10 million more to the Jordanian effort. Mr. Harper said he had met with envoys from Qatar and the Emirates.

"It's terrible to say, but sometimes it takes a miserable situation like we're having now to get people to say, 'Yes, we can do something,' " Mr. Harper said.

Not soon enough for Iman Qardah, 30, who has been in the camp for 10 weeks with her five children, ages 10 to 1. When the storm struck last week, her husband spent the night hammering the stakes of the tent as the wind threatened to rip it from the ground. The next night, rain seeped inside, so the family slept piled on one side. The next, the tent "started swimming on the water," she recalled, and finally collapsed. "My husband started shouting in the street for someone to help."

The family moved to a prefab that is perhaps 10 feet by 20 feet. But they leak, too. On Friday, the children huddled for warmth around a gas burner where Ms. Qardah was simmering cauliflower and rice, as a bucket nearby caught drops from the ceiling. A neighbor poked a head in, wondering jealously how she had procured a space heater.

"Every day I'm thinner than the day before and my mind is more preoccupied," Ms. Qardah said as she nursed the baby. "I used to not sleep because of the missiles. Now I don't sleep because I'm worried about my kids constantly."

The camp is rife with complaints. Skimpy food rations, scarce clothes. Spotty electricity, rare hot water, squalid toilets. Suspicions that aid workers are stealing blankets. Nothing to do, no prospects for getting out.

But given the weather and the continued flood of refugees — some 10,000 arrived in camp the last 10 days — it is remarkable things are not much, much worse. Officials said there had been no casualties from the cold. Khaled al-Hariri, the 22-year-old who was described in a YouTube video posted Wednesday by a Syrian activist as "the martyr to negligence and cold," actually died of cancer in a nearby hospital, according to a spokesman for the World Health Organization. There was also a stillborn and a premature baby who died after three days in an incubator.

Anne, the doctor at the French military hospital here, which requires personnel to be identified only by first name, said she had seen a slight uptick in sore throats and ears since the storm, but no frostbite. The main change is that patients linger in the consultation tent to stay out of the cold.

The French have performed 192 surgical operations on war wounded in the camp. An organization called Gynecologists Without Borders has delivered 172 babies there, 46 in the last three weeks.

Yusef Mohamed Hasan was at the clinic on Friday holding Sham, who was born Dec. 12 by Caesarean section. She was swaddled in four layers, then cradled in a big fuzzy blanket as her mother had the stitches removed.

"As soon as my wife is O.K., we are going back," said Mr. Hasan, 44. "It's not better for me there; it's not safe. But it's humiliating here."

Talk of returning to Syria has increased as conditions deteriorate, but officials said there had been no marked change in the number heading back across the border. Most of the rest are resigned to remaining through the winter, or longer.

As the sun came out Friday, Aboud Mohamed Awad and three neighbors set about building themselves a bathroom. The storm made walking to the shared facilities unbearable, he said, and anyhow they are filthy and crowded. Mr. Harper of the United Nations said the goal was to have one toilet per 20 refugees, but that the reality right now was more like one to 50.

Mr. Awad said he used the profits selling the ground floor of his home in Syria to buy corrugated panels and wood for about $100 and hired a $1.50-an-hour laborer, who started by smoothing cement with a pie plate to create a floor.

"We can at least take care of certain things," Mr. Awad said with something like pride. "We have young girls. It will make us feel more like people."

Ranya Kadri contributed reporting.

A version of this article appeared in print on January 13, 2013, on page A1 of the New York edition with the headline: A Desert Cold and Wet Multiplies the Misery of Syrian Refugees.
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NYT > Home Page: French Airstrikes Push Back Islamist Rebels in Mali

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French Airstrikes Push Back Islamist Rebels in Mali
Jan 12th 2013, 17:03

ECPAD, via Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

In a video still released by the French Army, French air force officers briefed at a military base in Chad before French military operations in Mali overnight.

PARIS — French airstrikes overnight in Mali pushed back Islamist rebels from a key village and destroyed a rebel command center, France said Saturday, as West African nations authorized what they said would be a fast deployment of troops to Mali in support of the weak government there.

France said its airstrikes had driven rebels out of Konna.

In a video still released by the French Army, French soldiers loaded a missile onto a plane in preparation for military operations in Mali overnight.

France intervened Friday, dropping bombs and firing rockets from helicopter gunships and jet fighters after the Islamist rebels who already control the north of Mali pressed southward, overrunning the village of Konna. The French, who had earlier said they would not intervene militarily but only help African troops, took action in response to an appeal by the Malian president.

France, the United States and other Western nations have been increasingly anxious about the Islamists' tightening grip on the north of the country, which they said was becoming a haven for militants, including those with links to Al Qaeda, who threaten not only their neighbors, but the West. On Saturday, Adm. Édouard Guillaud, the chief of staff of the French armed forces, said that French forces had no current plans to extend operations to northern areas controlled by the Islamists, but would expect to help African forces do the job when they arrive.

"The quicker the African mission is on the ground, the less we will need to help the Malian army," Admiral Guillaud said. He said more military planes had been sent to Africa for possible use in Mali. "We are in the build-up phase of operations," he said.

The United Nations Security Council had earlier agreed that troops from the 15-nation regional bloc known as Ecowas, the Economic Community of West African States, and European Union trainers would help the fragile government in Bamako win back the north of the country, where the Islamists have set up harsh rule under Sharia law in the nine months since the army fled the area. But both groups had been slow to deploy.

With the fall of Konna and the movement of the Islamist fighters south, the Ecowas commission president, Kadré Désiré Ouédraogo, said Saturday that the group had authorized an immediate deployment of troops "in light of the urgency of the situation," according to news reports. But he did not specify how many troops would be sent to Mali or give a date for their deployment. Also on Saturday, the foreign minister of Mali's neighbor, Niger, said that the country would send a battalion of 500 soldiers to fight alongside Ecowas troops.

In the fighting Friday, one French helicopter pilot, Lt. Damien Boiteux, died from small-arms fire, the French defense minister, Jean-Yves Le Drian, said at a news conference. Mr. Le Drian said that French forces, led by helicopter gunships, had driven the Islamists back from Konna, but it remained unclear if Malian forces had established control. Konna is about 45 miles north of the major town of Mopti, a port city on the Niger River that the Mali government feels it cannot lose.

A spokesman for the Islamist group Ansar Dine told The Associated Press that he could not confirm if some of the group's fighters were still in Konna. The spokesman, Sanda Ould Boumama, told Reuters that French intervention in Mali will have "consequences, not only for French hostages, but also for all French citizens wherever they find themselves in the Muslim world."

Fear of those consequences, at least for several French hostages held in North Africa, may have been a motivation for a failed French rescue mission early on Saturday in Somalia, where French commandos tried to free a French intelligence agent held there since 2009.

Mr. Le Drian said that France needed to act in Mali to forestall the collapse of the government there and the establishment of another area controlled by radical Islamists with ties to terrorist groups. "The threat is the establishment of a terrorist state within range of Europe and of France," he said. France is also acting because it has some 6,000 citizens in Mali, a former French colony. French troops have been moved into Bamako, the capital, to protect citizens there.

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NYT > Home Page: Question Mark: Baby Boomers and Charitable Donations

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Question Mark: Baby Boomers and Charitable Donations
Jan 12th 2013, 14:00

From top-notch schools to groups like Heifer International, charities want the same thing from baby boomers that they wanted from your parents and grandparents: money. The trouble is figuring out how to get it. There's gold in them thar boomers, but how do you mine it?

Researchers have estimated that the baby boomer generation gives more money to charity than any other generation, about $47 billion a year. A big number, sure, but recall how this generation got its name (hint: something to do with a record number of babies being born around the same time).

"Of course the baby boomers are going to give more money than any other generation," said Robert F. Sharpe Jr., a consultant to nonprofit groups. The real question is whether they are giving more per person. And the evidence so far, Mr. Sharpe said, suggests that they are not.

There are a number of things that might explain this, he said. Boomers tend to have started their careers — and their families — later than those before them, which may push back the time when they hit their peak earnings and the time when they get their homes to themselves again. Beyond that, more divorces and second families put a strain on their finances. And in recent years, of course, the recession and declining home values have made things even tighter.

Some groups whose goals speak to the children of the 1960s, like environmental organizations, have done well at attracting boomer donations, Mr. Sharpe said. But in general, charities have had a tough time connecting.

Part of the challenge is establishing relationships with people who may be more responsive to newer media than to direct mail and cold calling, and who may not even have a landline. And part of it is that boomers tend to be more highly educated, making them more analytical about which groups they want to give to — and, perhaps more skeptical. They grew up with 30-second ads, noted the report on generational giving, prepared by Convio, which provides software services to nonprofit groups. "They know when they are being sold, because they grew up being sold," it said.

Still, there are signs that a generation once known for its deeply felt views may be taking out its checkbook, however belatedly. "A lot of them, when they are in their 60s, they're putting their money where their mouth is," Mr. Sharpe said.

Robert T. Grimm Jr., director of the Center for Philanthropy and Nonprofit Leadership at the University of Maryland, College Park, also pointed to encouraging signs for charities. Among them: research showing that boomers are giving their time to community groups at higher rates than past generations. "Giving and volunteering behaviors go largely hand in hand," Mr. Grimm said in an e-mail.

And however cautious their higher education levels may make boomers about committing to a charity, the general rule has been that the more education people have, the more they are likely to donate. Some think that will prove the case with boomers. So while they may end up coming to the table later than other generations, when they do they may stay there longer and keep giving past the age when finances used to force many people to cut back. "What's interesting about boomers," Mr. Grimm said, "is that a large percentage of them say they want to continue to work into their 60s and 70s."

Questions on aging? E-mail boomerwhy@nytimes.com

Booming: Living Through the Middle Ages offers news and commentary about baby boomers, anchored by Michael Winerip. You can follow Booming via RSS here or visit nytimes.com/booming. You can reach us by e-mail at booming@nytimes.com.

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NYT > Home Page: How 5 Older Workers Saw a Chance to Remake Their Careers

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How 5 Older Workers Saw a Chance to Remake Their Careers
Jan 12th 2013, 14:51

Diego Ibarra Sanchez for The New York Times

Clare Novak was running out of work as a management trainer. Then a business contact tipped her to a job in Pakistan; she jumped at the chance.

IT'S a baby boomer's nightmare. One moment you're 40-ish and moving up, the next you're 50-plus and suddenly, shockingly, moving out — jobless in a tough economy.

Too young to retire, too old to start over. Or at least that's the line. Comfortable jobs with comfortable salaries are scarce, after all. Almost overnight, skills honed over a lifetime seem tired, passé. Twenty- and thirty-somethings will gladly do the work you used to do, and probably for less money. Yes, businesses are hiring again, but not nearly fast enough. Many people are so disheartened that they've simply stopped looking for work.

For millions of Americans over 50, this isn't a bad dream — it's grim reality. The recession and its aftermath have hit older workers especially hard. People 55 to 64 — an age range when many start to dream of kicking back — are having a particularly hard time finding new jobs. For a vast majority of this cohort, being thrown out of work means months of fruitless searching and soul-crushing rejection.

To which many experts say, "What did you expect?"

Everyone, whatever age, needs a Plan B. And maybe a Plan C and a Plan D. Who doesn't know that loyalty and hard work go only so far these days?

"Shame on you if you're not thinking every single year, 'What's my next step?' " says Pamela Mitchell, a career coach and author. "It's magical thinking not to do this."

Ms. Mitchell, who has reinvented her own career a few times, says everyone should think about options, alternative job paths and career goals, just in case. She recommends talking over job possibilities with family members and, if possible, building a financial cushion.

Constant networking is crucial, too. The idea, she says, is to prepare in case a big change comes.

"If you're thinking about it, you'll be doing all this piecemeal along the way," she says.

All of which, of course, is easier said than done. But some people who have gone through the emotional and financial strains of late-career unemployment say that with skill, determination and a bit of luck, the end of a job doesn't have to be the end of the world. Changing jobs or careers can be a good thing later in life, despite the many risks. Many agree that a willingness to push beyond the comforts of location, lifestyle and line of work is vital.

Though there is no single path, there are success stories that offer hope.

Like the story of Bonjet Sandigan, now of Delray Beach, Fla. An information technology specialist, Mr. Sandigan was laid off from Dun & Bradstreet in August 2011. But Mr. Sandigan, now 51, has since carved out a new career with ShelfGenie, a seller of custom home shelving.

It was a big switch. Mr. Sandigan grew up in the Philippines and has a computer science degree from Texas A&M. For years, he worked in I.T. support, helping customers over the phone. But he never managed to move up. When Dun & Bradstreet offered him a severance package, he figured that he could finally afford to take a little time to figure out his next move.

"I did some soul-searching about what's important to me," he says. "As you grow, your priorities change."

His father had been an entrepreneur in the Philippines, and Mr. Sandigan was attracted to the idea of working for himself. With the help of a consultant, he looked into buying a franchise in the I.T. or health care industries. Then he considered a ShelfGenie franchise, which appealed to him partly because it was a turnkey operation.

"The infrastructure is there, the market is there, the policies and procedures are there," he says. "You just have to follow the procedures."

Mr. Sandigan had worked in I.T. in various industries, including health care, gambling and financial services, so he was willing to try something new again. Still, the change wasn't easy.

"I had a whole lot of fears," he says. "But my background told me to do the numbers, do the math and research the market."

He eventually spent a low six-figure sum to buy four ShelfGenie sales territories and, after living for decades near Dallas, moved to Delray Beach for his new career and new life. He says his experience in I.T., working with cross-cultural teams in India and China, has been surprisingly useful in his new job, which requires a focus on customer service.

"It was a very diverse culture, so my experience there, trying to understand where people are coming from" proves helpful in his current work, he says. He says his old career taught him to listen closely — a valuable skill in his new work.

"Now that I have to be in front of the client," he says, "I can spend two hours with them before we even discuss the product, and I can do a demonstration."

Mr. Sandigan says he figured that the switch would mean a drop in income, at least initially. The first six to eight months would be hard. But, by his reckoning, his new career is on track financially.

"I'm right where I'm supposed to be," he says.

The Adventurer

Clare Novak is more than on track with her new career. At 58, she is making twice as much as she did in 2008, when her previous work dried up.

But Ms. Novak didn't just change jobs. She changed countries and cultures. After 18 years working in Chester Springs, Pa., doing management training for a range of businesses, she moved to Islamabad, Pakistan, in November, to work as a human resources adviser to nine power companies. Her first contract will last through this year, and possibly through 2015, a prospect she is happy to contemplate.

How did she end up making such a leap? She had formerly done work for someone in Egypt, who e-mailed her a job description and asked if she knew anyone who might fit the bill.

"The only person I know who would go there is me," Ms. Novak says. When asked if she was interested, she said, "I was thrilled and said yes."

Today, her life is vastly different. Once an avid hiker, she now spends more time at home, given that she is a foreign woman in a patriarchal society. She lives in what amounts to a rooming house and no longer enjoys the privacy she did in Chester Springs.

"Fortunately, I'm with a very collegial group," she says.

She is accustomed to adapting, and to using her networking skills. In the economic downturn, "networking and word of mouth were how I developed my business," Ms. Novak said in an e-mail interview. "Volunteering and networking kept me in business quite nicely, including overseas work in Egypt and Ukraine, and later Canada and Kuwait."

When American businesses began automating the training that was her specialty, a shrinking profession shrank further. Several of her large clients ended projects.

"My business was down to a few small projects and one week's work a month in Kuwait," she says. "The year after, I had only Kuwait, which was not enough to make ends meet.

"In those down years, it was a struggle to remain positive and keep at it," she says. "A longtime friend and colleague suggested that we form a business forum of like-minded women to help each other. We kept each other on track with our businesses and emotionally."

To this day, she says, all of those women "are still in business, and we are all experiencing upturns."

Moving to Pakistan has meant big changes. "There is considerably less autonomy for any foreigner of any age here," she says. "Due to security, both men and women can only walk in the daylight, and never alone. Our driver can take us to specific sectors, and outside of that we require a protection officer to accompany us. Society is relatively segregated socially, so women cluster together and men likewise. The businesswomen I meet are comfortable in mixed groups, and some are very cosmopolitan."

All the trade-offs are worth it, she says. Ms. Novak says she loves the adventure of living abroad, and the satisfaction of "being able to make a difference in people's lives."

The Inventor

After 15 years selling men's clothing for a national retailer, Jeffrey Nash, 58, was earning $90,000 a year and was often the top salesman in his company. But as the recession deepened, he began referring his customers to struggling co-workers. His sales commissions took a hit.

"I kind of softened up," he says. "My sales went down because I was sharing them."

His income fell to $65,000. And as shoppers became more cautious during the recession, he knew that it would soon fall even further.

"I was doomed," he says. "I knew I had to come up with an idea."

Mr. Nash, who lives in Las Vegas, had invented a device he called the Juppy, a sling that helps toddlers learn to walk more safely and confidently.

"I had already touched base with a patent attorney and had started the ball rolling," he says. He took three weeks of vacation to see if he could make a go of his invention, telling only a few people about his plans. Their opinions were "really negative," he recalls.

Undaunted, he drove to Los Angeles and San Diego, selling the Juppy from his trunk and on a televised sales show, and earning $12,000 in three weeks.

"I never went back to work," he says.

Investing $35,000 of his savings and an additional $9,000 from his father and a friend, Mr. Nash had the device manufactured in China.

"The transition was simple," he says. "If I'd stayed in my old job, I was going to lose in the end. I was done. I needed a massive change. I needed income of several hundred thousand dollars. I knew I had to take a risk, a massive risk."

That included selling his home — for $200,000 less than he had paid for it, because of the downturn — and renting a house instead.

"I used to drive a Lexus," he says. "I let that go. I don't need it anymore."

Mr. Nash has since sold $500,000 worth of his product, netting $200,000 in two and a half years, an annual average of $80,000.

He is relieved, and proud of having successfully leapt from the familiar into the unknown.

"It's unbelievable to me that at my age I recognized a need and filled it," he says. "We're having a hard time filling orders right now, we have so much demand."

The Renovator

When the economy heads south, it helps to have been through the situation a few times before, says Duke Marquiss, 67, a real estate investor and broker in Fort Collins, Colo. In 1974, he bought a motel in Gillette, Wyo., during an oil and coal boom. "I made the most money of my life," he recalls.

But the boom went bust, and in 1987, he moved to Scottsdale, Ariz., where he worked as a mortgage broker. By the time he and his wife moved to Colorado in 1989, Mr. Marquiss understood how to buy, sell, manage and rehabilitate real estate.

Today he earns his living in the real estate market niche known as A.R.V., for "after repair value." He buys properties, restores them and sells them for a profit. Tipped off by a local friend, he bought 65 town houses in Rock Springs, Wyo., in 2005 for $75,000 apiece, on average, and sold them each for about $100,000.

Mr. Marquiss had saved carefully and lived for three years with no income during the worst years of the recession. Because of a lack of new construction, he says he couldn't "do the development side I liked and was good at."

"That left me back selling houses," he adds, "so I decided I would 'fix and flip.' "

Growing up on a large sheep farm taught him "ranch-hand logic," but Mr. Marquiss acknowledges that he has had to learn his new business quickly, including how to use social media to gather advice from generous industry veterans. "LinkedIn helped a lot," he says.

Mr. Marquiss uses only private investors to do his deals, borrowing between $15,000 and $450,000. "They're tired of low interest rates or losing their money in the stock market," he says.

His new line of work is not for everyone, he warns.

"You've got to be flexible and think very quickly," he says. "You can't bank on any of these deals ever closing."

Before he found his new field, his wife suggested at one point that he find a full-time job working for someone else. He sent out 200 résumés, but received only one call. Sharply reducing their costs of living helped Mr. Marquiss and his wife, Ginger, weather the transition to their new life. They sold their 3,000-square-foot mountain home and now live in a condominium a third of the size in Fort Collins. He also saves $600 to $700 a month on gasoline by not commuting 45 minutes each way into town.

"It takes a conscious decision to reduce your overhead," he says. "I see so many people in denial about where they really are financially."

The Networker

Since graduating from college, Kenneth Jay Cohen, 52, of Stamford, Conn., has faced six layoffs, the first in his early 30s, and the most recent at 50 with two young children to support. A prolonged period of unemployment wasn't an option, so he did what he has done diligently for decades: he called upon his multiple networks for guidance and leads.

The first time he lost his job, "it was a shock, because I'd never experienced this before," he says. "But now I know exactly what to do. I try to feed the network as much as I can while I'm still working so I know it's there when I need it."

He has more than 1,000 contacts on LinkedIn and works at finding and keeping business contacts elsewhere, too. "Every three or four months I go to a meeting," he says. "I know who in my network is out of work, so every time I pick up a lead I pass it along to the group."

Staying actively connected has also helped.

"I'm associated with a few finance groups within my own industry because people in finance need I.T.," he says. "I also network with bankers, investment bankers and management types and a few accounting groups."

In all, Mr. Cohen belongs to 24 groups, of which he is most active in seven to nine at any given time.

When he has lost a job, he has made a point of expanding his networks even further. "I always pick a new group to which I devote my time and my leadership skills," he says. "It keeps me sane. It keeps me focused."

It took him five months to find his latest job, a full-time position handling I.T. security for a Manhattan-based financial services company. He found his previous job within 30 days, picking up a year's guaranteed contract work in Hartford.

"I seem to be able to find work," he says modestly. "I know project managers who've been out of work for two years, and they're really frustrated." Some, he says, are too busy nursing their wounds to get out and meet the dozens, perhaps hundreds, of others in their field and affiliated areas who might be able to help them.

Living in an affluent area can complicate the issue when it's time to tighten your belt.

"I'm back to where I was three and a half years ago financially," he says. "The consumer I used to be when I was younger has considerably changed. It boils down to what your priorities are, and mine is my family. Sure, I'd like a shiny new Lexus and a million-dollar home. But is that practical for me? I'd rather have my kids."

A version of this article appeared in print on January 13, 2013, on page BU1 of the New York edition with the headline: Over 50, and Under No Illusions.

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