What's Next For Syria?

Abdlhamid Haj Omar, 70, a father who lost three sons and two grandsons in the ongoing Syrian crisis, prays as he visits their graves at the Martyrs' cemetery in Azaz, north of Aleppo, on Dec. 25, 2012. Ahmed Jadallah / Reuters

Syria’s Rising Death Toll: The Darkness Before The Dawn Or Sign Of A Grinding Stalemate? -- Tony Karon, Time

At least 60,000 Syrians have been killed in the country’s civil war since March 2011, U.N. Human Rights Commissioner Navi Pillay reported Wednesday. Despite that death toll, which Pillay described as “truly shocking,” U.N. envoy Lakhdar Brahimi warned last weekend that the increasingly sectarian conflict could claim a further 100,000 lives in the coming year without necessarily producing a decisive outcome. Brahimi warned that the war “presents a grave danger not only to the Syrian people but to the neighboring countries and the world,” and he predicted that left unresolved, the conflict would turn Syria into an equivalent of Somalia — a failed state carved into fiefdoms run by local warlords.

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My Comment: This is a war of attrition .... and the forces loyal to Syrian President Assad are outnumbered. My prediction .... Assad's forces are being degraded at a slow and methodical rate .... they will reach a breaking point, and that breaking will probably take a year or two to reach.


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